RT Delphi: An Efficient, “Round-less” Almost Real Time Delphi Method (by Theodore Gordon and Adam Pease)

Abstract:

The authors have recently developed a new approach to performing a Delphi study that does not involve the use of sequential “rounds” and as a result, greatly improves the efficiency of the process and shortens the time to perform such studies. This paper describes this process, RT Delphi, and illustrates its use in a decision-making application drawn from the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University. The illustrative application involves setting priorities among strategies for dealing with anticipated terrorist activities that might be initiated by a single deranged individual. 

Authors: 

• Theodore Gordon is Senior Research Fellow of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University. He is co-founder of the Project, founder, and CEO for 20 years of the Futures Group, and developer of several methods of forecasting. He can be reached at tedjgordon@att.net.
•  Adam Pease is CEO of Articulate Software and the creator of the Suggested Upper Merged Ontology (SUMO). He can be reached at apease@articulatesoftware.com